The cryptocurrency market has seen a 3.7% decline over the past 24 hours, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping more than 1.9%. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $89,003.65—approximately 22.49% below its all-time high. Over the last 30 days, Bitcoin’s price has fallen by over 8.7%, sparking concerns among investors about the sustainability of the current bull cycle. Despite these short-term fluctuations, leading experts remain optimistic. Cory Klippsten, CEO of Swan Bitcoin, forecasts that Bitcoin could surpass $109,000 by June 2025. This article explores the key factors shaping Bitcoin’s price trajectory and evaluates whether a return to $100K—and beyond—is within reach.
BTC’s Path to a New All-Time High
Cory Klippsten believes there is at least a 50% probability that Bitcoin will achieve a new all-time high by mid-2025. While recent price corrections have triggered market anxiety, Klippsten emphasizes that these are typical within strong bull markets. He argues that Bitcoin remains in a robust upward trend, with macroeconomic digestion being the primary reason for temporary pullbacks.
According to Klippsten, markets need time to absorb external pressures such as evolving trade policies and inflation expectations. These factors contribute to volatility but do not negate the underlying momentum driving Bitcoin’s long-term appreciation.
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Key Macroeconomic Factors Influencing Bitcoin’s Price
One major development impacting investor sentiment was former U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement on February 1 of aggressive new tariffs targeting China, Canada, and Mexico. The policy introduced stricter import duties, raising concerns about global trade stability and economic growth.
Klippsten notes that since the tariff announcement, Bitcoin’s price has declined by roughly 14%. While crypto markets are often viewed as independent of traditional finance, they remain sensitive to macroeconomic shocks. Geopolitical tensions and protectionist trade measures can trigger risk-off behavior, leading investors to temporarily reduce exposure to volatile assets like Bitcoin.
Inflation fears have also played a role in the recent downturn. With central banks maintaining tighter monetary policies, liquidity remains constrained. However, Klippsten views this as a short-term challenge rather than a structural threat to Bitcoin’s value proposition.
Why This Downturn Is a Pause—Not a Peak
Contrary to bearish narratives, many analysts see the current correction as a healthy consolidation phase. The momentum generated during Bitcoin’s breakout above $100K in late 2024 remains intact. Institutional demand continues to grow steadily, with major financial players increasing their BTC holdings through ETFs and custody solutions.
Long-term holders—often referred to as "HODLers"—have shown no signs of panic selling. On-chain data reveals that supply held by addresses with balances over 1,000 BTC has remained stable, indicating strong conviction among whales.
Monthly performance data further supports this view:
- December 2024: -3.19% (after hitting $100K)
- January 2025: +9.54%
- February 2025: -17.5%
- March 2025 (so far): +5.53%
This pattern reflects typical market cycles—sharp gains followed by pullbacks—rather than a reversal of trend.
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The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: Hype or Hope?
A recent announcement from the Trump administration revealed plans to establish a crypto strategic reserve, sparking initial excitement across the digital asset community. However, the lack of specific details—particularly regarding the quantity of Bitcoin the U.S. government might acquire—led to muted market response and eventual disappointment.
Experts suggest that without clear funding commitments or legislative backing, the proposal remains largely symbolic. Still, the mere discussion of national Bitcoin reserves signals growing recognition of crypto as a strategic asset class—a narrative that could gain traction globally in the coming years.
Short-Term Outlook: What to Expect in the Next Few Weeks
Market analyst Timothy Peterson projects that Bitcoin will trade in a range between $85,000 and $95,000 for the next 6 to 12 weeks. This sideways movement would allow the market to stabilize and absorb selling pressure before resuming its upward trajectory.
Peterson anticipates that after this consolidation phase, favorable macro conditions—such as potential rate cuts and increased institutional inflows—could catalyze a rebound toward $100,000 and beyond by mid-2025.
Technical indicators also support this outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has exited oversold territory, and trading volume is beginning to pick up again—a sign of renewed investor interest.
Frequently Asked Questions
Will Bitcoin hit $100K again in 2025?
Yes, multiple analysts predict that Bitcoin will reclaim $100K in 2025, driven by institutional demand, limited supply, and macroeconomic shifts.
What factors could push Bitcoin above $109,000?
A combination of ETF inflows, halving-induced scarcity, geopolitical uncertainty, and potential regulatory clarity could propel BTC beyond $109,000.
Is the Bitcoin bull run over?
No. Short-term corrections are normal in strong bull markets. On-chain metrics and investor behavior suggest the uptrend is still active.
How does inflation affect Bitcoin’s price?
Bitcoin is often seen as an inflation hedge. When inflation rises, demand for BTC typically increases—but short-term price reactions can be volatile due to broader market sentiment.
Could government adoption boost Bitcoin’s value?
Yes. National-level accumulation—even symbolic purchases—can enhance legitimacy and drive long-term price appreciation.
What should investors do during this dip?
Many experts recommend dollar-cost averaging (DCA) during downturns to reduce volatility risk while building long-term exposure.
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Final Thoughts: A Strong Foundation for Growth
While Bitcoin’s recent price dip has sparked debate, the fundamentals remain strong. Institutional adoption is accelerating, on-chain activity is healthy, and global awareness of digital assets is rising. Short-term noise—from tariff policies to speculative reserve plans—may influence sentiment, but it does not alter the long-term trajectory.
With the next leg of the bull run likely fueled by scarcity, demand, and macro tailwinds, Bitcoin’s return to $100K appears not only possible but probable in 2025. Whether it breaks $109,000 or even higher depends on how quickly confidence returns and how decisively investors re-enter the market.
For those watching from the sidelines, now may be an opportune moment to assess positioning—not with fear, but with strategic clarity.
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